GMS location: 965

Random forest results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 0.970 0.222 0.390 0.458 3.160 NaN NaN
forest winter 2016 0.988 0.167 0.312 0.399 3.097 0.455 6.725
baseline winter 2017 0.975 0.094 0.327 0.386 2.865 NaN NaN
forest winter 2017 0.983 0.156 0.215 0.316 1.961 0.442 4.386
baseline winter 2018 0.985 0.000e+00 0.309 0.388 2.176 NaN NaN
forest winter 2018 0.985 0.000e+00 0.240 0.345 1.938 0.442 3.348
baseline winter 2019 0.971 0.000e+00 0.301 0.404 2.425 NaN NaN
forest winter 2019 0.993 0.000e+00 0.164 0.309 1.458 0.447 3.660
baseline all 0.975 0.078 0.335 0.411 3.160 NaN NaN
forest all 0.988 0.089 0.237 0.345 3.097 0.447 4.633

Random forest plots

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Extended logistic regression results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 0.970 0.222 0.390 0.458 3.160 NaN NaN
elr winter 2016 0.988 0.167 0.324 0.410 3.418 0.534 7.580
baseline winter 2017 0.975 0.094 0.327 0.386 2.865 NaN NaN
elr winter 2017 0.975 0.156 0.248 0.353 2.127 0.523 6.452
baseline winter 2018 0.985 0.000e+00 0.309 0.388 2.176 NaN NaN
elr winter 2018 1.000 0.000e+00 0.230 0.341 2.073 0.508 6.349
baseline winter 2019 0.971 0.000e+00 0.301 0.404 2.425 NaN NaN
elr winter 2019 0.986 0.000e+00 0.201 0.343 1.555 0.527 5.314
baseline all 0.975 0.078 0.335 0.411 3.160 NaN NaN
elr all 0.988 0.089 0.254 0.364 3.418 0.524 6.486

Extended logistic regression plots

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