GMS location: 963

Random forest results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 0.985 0.083 0.362 0.449 2.152 NaN NaN
forest winter 2016 0.995 0.083 0.313 0.414 2.082 0.419 5.361
baseline winter 2017 0.984 0.103 0.391 0.424 3.032 NaN NaN
forest winter 2017 0.984 0.103 0.290 0.394 2.224 0.436 5.042
baseline winter 2018 0.962 0.080 0.389 0.449 2.375 NaN NaN
forest winter 2018 0.977 0.080 0.259 0.364 1.936 0.408 2.427
baseline winter 2019 0.985 0.000e+00 0.413 0.476 2.516 NaN NaN
forest winter 2019 0.993 0.000e+00 0.269 0.366 1.694 0.411 3.140
baseline all 0.980 0.079 0.387 0.449 3.032 NaN NaN
forest all 0.988 0.079 0.285 0.387 2.224 0.418 4.105

Random forest plots

My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :)

Extended logistic regression results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 0.985 0.083 0.362 0.449 2.152 NaN NaN
elr winter 2016 0.990 0.000e+00 0.315 0.419 2.350 0.502 3.815
baseline winter 2017 0.984 0.103 0.391 0.424 3.032 NaN NaN
elr winter 2017 0.984 0.103 0.343 0.423 2.549 0.488 3.628
baseline winter 2018 0.962 0.080 0.389 0.449 2.375 NaN NaN
elr winter 2018 0.977 0.080 0.325 0.443 1.849 0.481 3.333
baseline winter 2019 0.985 0.000e+00 0.413 0.476 2.516 NaN NaN
elr winter 2019 0.985 0.000e+00 0.217 0.349 1.564 0.475 2.827
baseline all 0.980 0.079 0.387 0.449 3.032 NaN NaN
elr all 0.985 0.066 0.302 0.410 2.549 0.488 3.439

Extended logistic regression plots

My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :)