GMS location: 955

Random forest results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 0.988 0.111 0.365 0.445 2.102 NaN NaN
forest winter 2016 0.994 0.167 0.296 0.396 2.116 0.449 4.073
baseline winter 2017 0.966 0.077 0.441 0.471 2.610 NaN NaN
forest winter 2017 0.975 0.115 0.322 0.411 1.957 0.455 3.933
baseline winter 2018 0.973 0.080 0.378 0.439 2.282 NaN NaN
forest winter 2018 0.980 0.080 0.287 0.383 2.107 0.448 3.297
baseline winter 2019 1.000 0.083 0.321 0.429 1.711 NaN NaN
forest winter 2019 1.000 0.083 0.259 0.397 1.282 0.453 3.039
baseline all 0.982 0.086 0.376 0.446 2.610 NaN NaN
forest all 0.988 0.111 0.291 0.396 2.116 0.451 3.606

Random forest plots

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Extended logistic regression results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 0.988 0.111 0.365 0.445 2.102 NaN NaN
elr winter 2016 0.988 0.167 0.313 0.419 2.135 0.536 4.374
baseline winter 2017 0.966 0.077 0.441 0.471 2.610 NaN NaN
elr winter 2017 0.983 0.038 0.318 0.400 1.886 0.527 4.620
baseline winter 2018 0.973 0.080 0.378 0.439 2.282 NaN NaN
elr winter 2018 0.980 0.080 0.286 0.392 2.286 0.529 4.132
baseline winter 2019 1.000 0.083 0.321 0.429 1.711 NaN NaN
elr winter 2019 0.992 0.000e+00 0.257 0.391 1.483 0.519 4.037
baseline all 0.982 0.086 0.376 0.446 2.610 NaN NaN
elr all 0.986 0.074 0.295 0.401 2.286 0.528 4.291

Extended logistic regression plots

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