GMS location: 924

Random forest results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 0.982 0.000e+00 0.373 0.454 2.098 NaN NaN
forest winter 2016 0.994 0.000e+00 0.277 0.381 2.104 0.467 6.474
baseline winter 2017 0.990 0.044 0.390 0.432 2.300 NaN NaN
forest winter 2017 0.990 0.067 0.265 0.357 1.974 0.446 4.818
baseline winter 2018 0.979 0.086 0.303 0.416 2.000 NaN NaN
forest winter 2018 0.986 0.086 0.229 0.353 2.057 0.461 3.616
baseline winter 2019 0.986 0.048 0.276 0.386 2.183 NaN NaN
forest winter 2019 0.986 0.095 0.164 0.299 1.600 0.443 3.728
baseline all 0.984 0.047 0.336 0.423 2.300 NaN NaN
forest all 0.989 0.063 0.235 0.349 2.104 0.455 4.708

Random forest plots

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Extended logistic regression results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 0.982 0.000e+00 0.373 0.454 2.098 NaN NaN
elr winter 2016 1.000 0.000e+00 0.319 0.438 2.072 0.546 6.562
baseline winter 2017 0.990 0.044 0.390 0.432 2.300 NaN NaN
elr winter 2017 0.990 0.067 0.303 0.373 2.417 0.493 5.031
baseline winter 2018 0.979 0.086 0.303 0.416 2.000 NaN NaN
elr winter 2018 0.986 0.086 0.290 0.420 2.151 0.552 5.175
baseline winter 2019 0.986 0.048 0.276 0.386 2.183 NaN NaN
elr winter 2019 0.986 0.095 0.224 0.370 1.629 0.501 3.639
baseline all 0.984 0.047 0.336 0.423 2.300 NaN NaN
elr all 0.991 0.063 0.285 0.403 2.417 0.525 5.163

Extended logistic regression plots

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