GMS location: 922

Random forest results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 0.994 0.000e+00 0.387 0.463 1.865 NaN NaN
forest winter 2016 0.989 0.071 0.299 0.398 2.041 0.491 5.379
baseline winter 2017 0.967 0.032 0.469 0.492 2.624 NaN NaN
forest winter 2017 0.967 0.032 0.337 0.422 1.780 0.468 3.860
baseline winter 2018 0.973 0.103 0.329 0.423 2.228 NaN NaN
forest winter 2018 0.980 0.103 0.272 0.376 2.080 0.476 3.322
baseline winter 2019 0.986 0.000e+00 0.315 0.395 2.415 NaN NaN
forest winter 2019 0.993 0.000e+00 0.218 0.349 1.453 0.463 2.912
baseline all 0.981 0.046 0.373 0.443 2.624 NaN NaN
forest all 0.983 0.058 0.282 0.386 2.080 0.475 3.921

Random forest plots

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Extended logistic regression results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 0.994 0.000e+00 0.387 0.463 1.865 NaN NaN
elr winter 2016 0.989 0.143 0.322 0.428 1.964 0.563 4.564
baseline winter 2017 0.967 0.032 0.469 0.492 2.624 NaN NaN
elr winter 2017 0.950 0.032 0.347 0.432 2.019 0.528 4.559
baseline winter 2018 0.973 0.103 0.329 0.423 2.228 NaN NaN
elr winter 2018 0.973 0.103 0.295 0.402 1.943 0.539 4.460
baseline winter 2019 0.986 0.000e+00 0.315 0.395 2.415 NaN NaN
elr winter 2019 0.993 0.000e+00 0.243 0.379 1.365 0.512 3.945
baseline all 0.981 0.046 0.373 0.443 2.624 NaN NaN
elr all 0.978 0.070 0.302 0.410 2.019 0.537 4.392

Extended logistic regression plots

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