GMS location: 910

Random forest results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 0.984 0.000e+00 0.312 0.423 1.783 NaN NaN
forest winter 2016 0.989 0.071 0.190 0.329 1.305 0.440 3.883
baseline winter 2017 0.952 0.071 0.376 0.456 2.712 NaN NaN
forest winter 2017 0.984 0.071 0.227 0.354 1.771 0.440 4.461
baseline winter 2018 0.987 0.069 0.384 0.476 2.198 NaN NaN
forest winter 2018 0.987 0.103 0.302 0.414 2.167 0.445 3.630
baseline winter 2019 0.972 0.000e+00 0.368 0.445 2.151 NaN NaN
forest winter 2019 0.972 0.000e+00 0.225 0.360 1.487 0.432 3.521
baseline all 0.975 0.049 0.358 0.449 2.712 NaN NaN
forest all 0.984 0.073 0.236 0.364 2.167 0.439 3.862

Random forest plots

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Extended logistic regression results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 0.984 0.000e+00 0.312 0.423 1.783 NaN NaN
elr winter 2016 0.989 0.000e+00 0.236 0.389 1.359 0.521 4.649
baseline winter 2017 0.952 0.071 0.376 0.456 2.712 NaN NaN
elr winter 2017 0.968 0.036 0.237 0.372 1.864 0.503 4.764
baseline winter 2018 0.987 0.069 0.384 0.476 2.198 NaN NaN
elr winter 2018 0.994 0.103 0.319 0.423 2.258 0.503 5.351
baseline winter 2019 0.972 0.000e+00 0.368 0.445 2.151 NaN NaN
elr winter 2019 0.986 0.000e+00 0.260 0.393 1.351 0.481 4.531
baseline all 0.975 0.049 0.358 0.449 2.712 NaN NaN
elr all 0.985 0.049 0.264 0.395 2.258 0.503 4.834

Extended logistic regression plots

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