GMS location: 909

Random forest results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 0.979 0.000e+00 0.338 0.450 1.669 NaN NaN
forest winter 2016 0.984 0.091 0.210 0.363 1.281 0.403 3.356
baseline winter 2017 0.952 0.000e+00 0.415 0.506 1.794 NaN NaN
forest winter 2017 0.960 0.040 0.257 0.399 1.373 0.408 4.553
baseline winter 2018 0.991 0.071 0.356 0.454 1.903 NaN NaN
forest winter 2018 1.000 0.071 0.300 0.404 1.910 0.396 2.955
baseline winter 2019 0.992 0.000e+00 0.278 0.383 1.654 NaN NaN
forest winter 2019 0.992 0.000e+00 0.212 0.341 1.821 0.405 2.836
baseline all 0.978 0.018 0.348 0.450 1.903 NaN NaN
forest all 0.983 0.053 0.240 0.375 1.910 0.403 3.465

Random forest plots

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Extended logistic regression results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 0.979 0.000e+00 0.338 0.450 1.669 NaN NaN
elr winter 2016 0.973 0.000e+00 0.264 0.407 1.817 0.506 4.886
baseline winter 2017 0.952 0.000e+00 0.415 0.506 1.794 NaN NaN
elr winter 2017 0.960 0.000e+00 0.310 0.426 1.625 0.461 4.371
baseline winter 2018 0.991 0.071 0.356 0.454 1.903 NaN NaN
elr winter 2018 1.000 0.000e+00 0.313 0.401 1.774 0.463 4.314
baseline winter 2019 0.992 0.000e+00 0.278 0.383 1.654 NaN NaN
elr winter 2019 0.992 0.000e+00 0.245 0.351 1.962 0.460 3.949
baseline all 0.978 0.018 0.348 0.450 1.903 NaN NaN
elr all 0.980 0.000e+00 0.281 0.398 1.962 0.476 4.438

Extended logistic regression plots

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