GMS location: 906

Random forest results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 0.979 0.000e+00 0.348 0.444 1.883 NaN NaN
forest winter 2016 1.000 0.143 0.215 0.358 1.393 0.410 2.574
baseline winter 2017 0.954 0.083 0.446 0.501 2.353 NaN NaN
forest winter 2017 0.969 0.083 0.277 0.405 1.746 0.420 3.590
baseline winter 2018 0.987 0.095 0.355 0.460 1.946 NaN NaN
forest winter 2018 1.000 0.143 0.302 0.406 2.028 0.429 2.789
baseline winter 2019 0.977 0.000e+00 0.346 0.446 2.180 NaN NaN
forest winter 2019 0.992 0.000e+00 0.233 0.356 1.534 0.421 2.703
baseline all 0.975 0.058 0.372 0.462 2.353 NaN NaN
forest all 0.992 0.101 0.255 0.381 2.028 0.419 2.890

Random forest plots

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Extended logistic regression results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 0.979 0.000e+00 0.348 0.444 1.883 NaN NaN
elr winter 2016 1.000 0.143 0.250 0.389 1.734 0.458 3.232
baseline winter 2017 0.954 0.083 0.446 0.501 2.353 NaN NaN
elr winter 2017 0.969 0.083 0.312 0.430 1.823 0.456 4.241
baseline winter 2018 0.987 0.095 0.355 0.460 1.946 NaN NaN
elr winter 2018 1.000 0.095 0.312 0.403 1.905 0.488 4.269
baseline winter 2019 0.977 0.000e+00 0.346 0.446 2.180 NaN NaN
elr winter 2019 0.977 0.000e+00 0.240 0.359 1.851 0.474 3.908
baseline all 0.975 0.058 0.372 0.462 2.353 NaN NaN
elr all 0.988 0.087 0.278 0.395 1.905 0.469 3.874

Extended logistic regression plots

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