GMS location: 900

Random forest results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 0.994 0.087 0.471 0.465 5.025 NaN NaN
forest winter 2016 0.994 0.130 0.384 0.392 5.122 0.512 5.474
baseline winter 2017 0.982 0.048 0.363 0.450 2.404 NaN NaN
forest winter 2017 0.973 0.000e+00 0.276 0.381 2.122 0.490 4.575
baseline winter 2018 0.980 0.067 0.330 0.431 2.197 NaN NaN
forest winter 2018 0.987 0.033 0.278 0.395 2.043 0.509 4.279
baseline winter 2019 0.986 0.000e+00 0.294 0.400 2.236 NaN NaN
forest winter 2019 0.979 0.000e+00 0.218 0.332 2.539 0.518 3.682
baseline all 0.986 0.055 0.369 0.438 5.025 NaN NaN
forest all 0.984 0.037 0.294 0.376 5.122 0.507 4.546

Random forest plots

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Extended logistic regression results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 0.994 0.087 0.471 0.465 5.025 NaN NaN
elr winter 2016 0.994 0.217 0.432 0.447 4.694 0.611 7.947
baseline winter 2017 0.982 0.048 0.363 0.450 2.404 NaN NaN
elr winter 2017 0.973 0.024 0.293 0.408 2.060 0.565 4.568
baseline winter 2018 0.980 0.067 0.330 0.431 2.197 NaN NaN
elr winter 2018 0.993 0.000e+00 0.291 0.401 2.131 0.565 4.410
baseline winter 2019 0.986 0.000e+00 0.294 0.400 2.236 NaN NaN
elr winter 2019 0.979 0.000e+00 0.244 0.368 2.524 0.537 3.461
baseline all 0.986 0.055 0.369 0.438 5.025 NaN NaN
elr all 0.986 0.055 0.320 0.408 4.694 0.572 5.229

Extended logistic regression plots

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