GMS location: 870

Random forest results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 0.983 0.000e+00 0.377 0.467 2.249 NaN NaN
forest winter 2016 0.983 0.071 0.306 0.403 2.103 0.440 2.611
baseline winter 2017 0.959 0.067 0.352 0.431 2.288 NaN NaN
forest winter 2017 0.959 0.067 0.249 0.356 2.665 0.430 2.628
baseline winter 2018 0.981 0.091 0.507 0.540 2.435 NaN NaN
forest winter 2018 0.987 0.045 0.402 0.463 2.384 0.427 3.379
baseline winter 2019 0.980 0.071 0.322 0.414 2.231 NaN NaN
forest winter 2019 1.000 0.071 0.226 0.348 1.995 0.407 1.904
baseline all 0.977 0.062 0.392 0.466 2.435 NaN NaN
forest all 0.984 0.062 0.299 0.395 2.665 0.427 2.646

Random forest plots

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Extended logistic regression results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 0.983 0.000e+00 0.377 0.467 2.249 NaN NaN
elr winter 2016 0.977 0.071 0.345 0.435 2.214 0.537 4.724
baseline winter 2017 0.959 0.067 0.352 0.431 2.288 NaN NaN
elr winter 2017 0.976 0.067 0.256 0.388 2.517 0.520 3.642
baseline winter 2018 0.981 0.091 0.507 0.540 2.435 NaN NaN
elr winter 2018 0.981 0.091 0.402 0.470 2.372 0.497 4.364
baseline winter 2019 0.980 0.071 0.322 0.414 2.231 NaN NaN
elr winter 2019 1.000 0.071 0.267 0.373 1.959 0.460 3.004
baseline all 0.977 0.062 0.392 0.466 2.435 NaN NaN
elr all 0.984 0.075 0.322 0.419 2.517 0.504 3.978

Extended logistic regression plots

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