GMS location: 853

Random forest results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 0.979 0.067 0.369 0.439 2.087 NaN NaN
forest winter 2016 0.995 0.000e+00 0.310 0.406 1.959 0.424 1.731
baseline winter 2017 0.974 0.075 0.409 0.461 2.828 NaN NaN
forest winter 2017 0.982 0.125 0.342 0.436 2.174 0.425 1.756
baseline winter 2018 0.961 0.094 0.708 0.580 5.298 NaN NaN
forest winter 2018 0.967 0.094 0.572 0.499 5.149 0.406 1.704
baseline winter 2019 0.986 0.000e+00 0.445 0.475 2.466 NaN NaN
forest winter 2019 0.986 0.091 0.337 0.407 2.815 0.398 1.448
baseline all 0.975 0.064 0.484 0.489 5.298 NaN NaN
forest all 0.983 0.092 0.392 0.437 5.149 0.414 1.664

Random forest plots

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Extended logistic regression results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 0.979 0.067 0.369 0.439 2.087 NaN NaN
elr winter 2016 0.995 0.067 0.313 0.427 1.781 0.483 1.937
baseline winter 2017 0.974 0.075 0.409 0.461 2.828 NaN NaN
elr winter 2017 0.974 0.100 0.337 0.431 2.201 0.511 2.309
baseline winter 2018 0.961 0.094 0.708 0.580 5.298 NaN NaN
elr winter 2018 0.967 0.094 0.524 0.499 4.428 0.470 2.615
baseline winter 2019 0.986 0.000e+00 0.445 0.475 2.466 NaN NaN
elr winter 2019 0.993 0.091 0.357 0.434 2.183 0.448 1.788
baseline all 0.975 0.064 0.484 0.489 5.298 NaN NaN
elr all 0.983 0.092 0.384 0.448 4.428 0.478 2.162

Extended logistic regression plots

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