GMS location: 839

Random forest results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 0.977 0.053 0.396 0.457 2.506 NaN NaN
forest winter 2016 0.994 0.000e+00 0.340 0.415 2.193 0.452 2.895
baseline winter 2017 0.991 0.057 0.315 0.391 3.176 NaN NaN
forest winter 2017 0.983 0.029 0.270 0.361 2.227 0.452 2.429
baseline winter 2018 0.980 0.000e+00 0.431 0.495 2.322 NaN NaN
forest winter 2018 0.974 0.045 0.352 0.446 2.292 0.455 2.694
baseline winter 2019 0.967 0.000e+00 0.321 0.395 1.883 NaN NaN
forest winter 2019 0.983 0.056 0.245 0.345 2.022 0.442 2.419
baseline all 0.979 0.032 0.371 0.439 3.176 NaN NaN
forest all 0.984 0.032 0.307 0.396 2.292 0.450 2.636

Random forest plots

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Extended logistic regression results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 0.977 0.053 0.396 0.457 2.506 NaN NaN
elr winter 2016 0.989 0.053 0.350 0.444 1.914 0.534 3.789
baseline winter 2017 0.991 0.057 0.315 0.391 3.176 NaN NaN
elr winter 2017 0.983 0.029 0.271 0.373 2.009 0.518 3.291
baseline winter 2018 0.980 0.000e+00 0.431 0.495 2.322 NaN NaN
elr winter 2018 0.980 0.045 0.346 0.447 2.236 0.522 4.024
baseline winter 2019 0.967 0.000e+00 0.321 0.395 1.883 NaN NaN
elr winter 2019 0.983 0.000e+00 0.236 0.368 1.492 0.513 3.344
baseline all 0.979 0.032 0.371 0.439 3.176 NaN NaN
elr all 0.984 0.032 0.307 0.412 2.236 0.523 3.645

Extended logistic regression plots

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