GMS location: 838

Random forest results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 0.972 0.200 0.531 0.528 3.026 NaN NaN
forest winter 2016 0.967 0.160 0.483 0.506 2.485 0.537 2.220
baseline winter 2017 0.991 0.143 1.072 0.532 8.625 NaN NaN
forest winter 2017 0.991 0.143 1.037 0.506 8.678 0.509 2.018
baseline winter 2018 0.980 0.074 0.457 0.508 2.012 NaN NaN
forest winter 2018 0.980 0.074 0.407 0.472 2.319 0.507 2.024
baseline winter 2019 0.993 0.091 0.431 0.482 2.636 NaN NaN
forest winter 2019 0.985 0.000e+00 0.372 0.440 2.004 0.532 1.734
baseline all 0.983 0.128 0.607 0.513 8.625 NaN NaN
forest all 0.979 0.101 0.559 0.482 8.678 0.522 2.016

Random forest plots

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Extended logistic regression results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 0.972 0.200 0.531 0.528 3.026 NaN NaN
elr winter 2016 0.972 0.120 0.475 0.513 2.661 0.577 2.124
baseline winter 2017 0.991 0.143 1.072 0.532 8.625 NaN NaN
elr winter 2017 0.982 0.143 1.080 0.533 8.781 0.590 2.717
baseline winter 2018 0.980 0.074 0.457 0.508 2.012 NaN NaN
elr winter 2018 0.980 0.074 0.427 0.516 1.984 0.552 1.902
baseline winter 2019 0.993 0.091 0.431 0.482 2.636 NaN NaN
elr winter 2019 0.985 0.000e+00 0.363 0.455 2.342 0.530 1.774
baseline all 0.983 0.128 0.607 0.513 8.625 NaN NaN
elr all 0.979 0.092 0.569 0.505 8.781 0.563 2.116

Extended logistic regression plots

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