GMS location: 836

Random forest results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 0.976 0.043 0.281 0.405 1.623 NaN NaN
forest winter 2016 0.976 0.130 0.238 0.365 1.484 0.466 2.977
baseline winter 2017 0.980 0.050 0.413 0.460 2.364 NaN NaN
forest winter 2017 0.971 0.050 0.345 0.424 2.169 0.456 3.189
baseline winter 2018 0.987 0.088 0.463 0.504 2.403 NaN NaN
forest winter 2018 0.993 0.088 0.369 0.439 2.191 0.450 3.299
baseline winter 2019 0.986 0.000e+00 0.355 0.415 2.967 NaN NaN
forest winter 2019 0.986 0.042 0.269 0.371 2.388 0.425 2.169
baseline all 0.982 0.050 0.376 0.446 2.967 NaN NaN
forest all 0.982 0.074 0.304 0.399 2.388 0.450 2.915

Random forest plots

My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :)

Extended logistic regression results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 0.976 0.043 0.281 0.405 1.623 NaN NaN
elr winter 2016 0.969 0.043 0.255 0.384 1.782 0.528 3.805
baseline winter 2017 0.980 0.050 0.413 0.460 2.364 NaN NaN
elr winter 2017 0.971 0.025 0.346 0.442 2.003 0.538 4.601
baseline winter 2018 0.987 0.088 0.463 0.504 2.403 NaN NaN
elr winter 2018 0.993 0.088 0.359 0.440 1.964 0.492 3.949
baseline winter 2019 0.986 0.000e+00 0.355 0.415 2.967 NaN NaN
elr winter 2019 0.986 0.042 0.270 0.389 1.858 0.457 2.900
baseline all 0.982 0.050 0.376 0.446 2.967 NaN NaN
elr all 0.980 0.050 0.306 0.412 2.003 0.503 3.794

Extended logistic regression plots

My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :)