GMS location: 835

Random forest results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 0.994 0.050 0.327 0.387 2.722 NaN NaN
forest winter 2016 0.988 0.150 0.300 0.368 2.739 0.472 4.419
baseline winter 2017 0.991 0.051 0.270 0.359 2.357 NaN NaN
forest winter 2017 1.000 0.077 0.246 0.361 2.021 0.467 3.522
baseline winter 2018 0.979 0.143 0.382 0.417 3.089 NaN NaN
forest winter 2018 0.972 0.143 0.364 0.409 2.989 0.470 4.088
baseline winter 2019 0.984 0.000e+00 0.283 0.374 2.354 NaN NaN
forest winter 2019 0.984 0.000e+00 0.254 0.362 1.728 0.459 3.011
baseline all 0.987 0.064 0.318 0.385 3.089 NaN NaN
forest all 0.985 0.096 0.294 0.376 2.989 0.468 3.817

Random forest plots

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Extended logistic regression results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 0.994 0.050 0.327 0.387 2.722 NaN NaN
elr winter 2016 0.988 0.000e+00 0.327 0.403 2.717 0.537 5.032
baseline winter 2017 0.991 0.051 0.270 0.359 2.357 NaN NaN
elr winter 2017 0.983 0.077 0.257 0.372 2.168 0.514 3.967
baseline winter 2018 0.979 0.143 0.382 0.417 3.089 NaN NaN
elr winter 2018 0.965 0.143 0.345 0.408 2.751 0.512 4.459
baseline winter 2019 0.984 0.000e+00 0.283 0.374 2.354 NaN NaN
elr winter 2019 0.984 0.000e+00 0.290 0.382 1.712 0.511 3.654
baseline all 0.987 0.064 0.318 0.385 3.089 NaN NaN
elr all 0.980 0.064 0.307 0.392 2.751 0.520 4.335

Extended logistic regression plots

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