GMS location: 834

Random forest results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 1.000 0.000e+00 0.386 0.433 2.519 NaN NaN
forest winter 2016 1.000 0.000e+00 0.343 0.409 2.385 0.480 4.391
baseline winter 2017 0.991 0.026 0.390 0.425 2.309 NaN NaN
forest winter 2017 0.991 0.053 0.332 0.412 2.079 0.474 3.460
baseline winter 2018 0.971 0.083 0.367 0.415 2.304 NaN NaN
forest winter 2018 0.971 0.083 0.328 0.423 1.908 0.468 2.619
baseline winter 2019 0.985 0.000e+00 0.327 0.393 2.898 NaN NaN
forest winter 2019 0.992 0.000e+00 0.249 0.362 1.962 0.470 2.482
baseline all 0.987 0.031 0.368 0.417 2.898 NaN NaN
forest all 0.989 0.041 0.315 0.402 2.385 0.473 3.271

Random forest plots

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Extended logistic regression results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 1.000 0.000e+00 0.386 0.433 2.519 NaN NaN
elr winter 2016 1.000 0.000e+00 0.373 0.451 2.523 0.560 4.155
baseline winter 2017 0.991 0.026 0.390 0.425 2.309 NaN NaN
elr winter 2017 0.983 0.053 0.322 0.422 1.810 0.557 3.948
baseline winter 2018 0.971 0.083 0.367 0.415 2.304 NaN NaN
elr winter 2018 0.979 0.083 0.346 0.431 1.887 0.540 3.440
baseline winter 2019 0.985 0.000e+00 0.327 0.393 2.898 NaN NaN
elr winter 2019 0.992 0.045 0.291 0.400 2.183 0.492 2.626
baseline all 0.987 0.031 0.368 0.417 2.898 NaN NaN
elr all 0.989 0.051 0.335 0.427 2.523 0.538 3.564

Extended logistic regression plots

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