GMS location: 723

Random forest results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 0.983 0.000e+00 0.302 0.411 1.924 NaN NaN
forest winter 2016 0.989 0.000e+00 0.293 0.411 1.804 0.448 3.107
baseline winter 2017 0.983 0.000e+00 0.296 0.402 1.839 NaN NaN
forest winter 2017 0.983 0.029 0.239 0.369 1.505 0.436 4.122
baseline winter 2018 0.993 0.118 0.418 0.476 2.882 NaN NaN
forest winter 2018 0.993 0.088 0.344 0.424 2.834 0.443 3.608
baseline winter 2019 0.980 0.000e+00 0.335 0.426 2.250 NaN NaN
forest winter 2019 0.980 0.000e+00 0.263 0.388 1.808 0.445 2.833
baseline all 0.985 0.040 0.339 0.430 2.882 NaN NaN
forest all 0.987 0.040 0.288 0.400 2.834 0.443 3.399

Random forest plots

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Extended logistic regression results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 0.983 0.000e+00 0.302 0.411 1.924 NaN NaN
elr winter 2016 0.983 0.000e+00 0.309 0.424 1.753 0.503 3.609
baseline winter 2017 0.983 0.000e+00 0.296 0.402 1.839 NaN NaN
elr winter 2017 0.966 0.029 0.270 0.389 1.656 0.477 3.046
baseline winter 2018 0.993 0.118 0.418 0.476 2.882 NaN NaN
elr winter 2018 0.993 0.118 0.406 0.453 3.312 0.490 3.857
baseline winter 2019 0.980 0.000e+00 0.335 0.426 2.250 NaN NaN
elr winter 2019 0.980 0.000e+00 0.314 0.433 1.988 0.467 2.856
baseline all 0.985 0.040 0.339 0.430 2.882 NaN NaN
elr all 0.982 0.050 0.327 0.426 3.312 0.485 3.377

Extended logistic regression plots

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