GMS location: 609

Random forest results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 0.989 0.000e+00 0.347 0.453 1.632 NaN NaN
forest winter 2016 0.994 0.000e+00 0.257 0.395 1.619 0.452 2.992
baseline winter 2017 0.975 0.062 0.468 0.486 2.859 NaN NaN
forest winter 2017 0.983 0.062 0.334 0.403 2.031 0.448 3.344
baseline winter 2018 0.993 0.031 0.339 0.396 2.325 NaN NaN
forest winter 2018 0.993 0.062 0.261 0.363 1.962 0.449 2.928
baseline winter 2019 0.993 0.250 0.303 0.391 1.996 NaN NaN
forest winter 2019 1.000 0.333 0.270 0.398 1.568 0.448 4.150
baseline all 0.988 0.060 0.362 0.431 2.859 NaN NaN
forest all 0.993 0.080 0.278 0.389 2.031 0.450 3.309

Random forest plots

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Extended logistic regression results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 0.989 0.000e+00 0.347 0.453 1.632 NaN NaN
elr winter 2016 0.989 0.000e+00 0.279 0.430 1.408 0.500 3.297
baseline winter 2017 0.975 0.062 0.468 0.486 2.859 NaN NaN
elr winter 2017 0.983 0.094 0.374 0.442 2.450 0.490 3.703
baseline winter 2018 0.993 0.031 0.339 0.396 2.325 NaN NaN
elr winter 2018 0.980 0.031 0.288 0.392 2.122 0.509 3.635
baseline winter 2019 0.993 0.250 0.303 0.391 1.996 NaN NaN
elr winter 2019 1.000 0.250 0.312 0.449 1.533 0.509 3.698
baseline all 0.988 0.060 0.362 0.431 2.859 NaN NaN
elr all 0.988 0.070 0.309 0.427 2.450 0.502 3.564

Extended logistic regression plots

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