GMS location: 569

Random forest results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 0.995 0.000e+00 0.323 0.454 1.601 NaN NaN
forest winter 2016 0.995 0.000e+00 0.310 0.444 1.888 0.551 4.226
baseline winter 2017 0.960 0.071 0.367 0.437 2.742 NaN NaN
forest winter 2017 0.944 0.071 0.331 0.430 2.417 0.550 4.493
baseline winter 2018 1.000 0.167 0.354 0.449 1.968 NaN NaN
forest winter 2018 1.000 0.167 0.276 0.396 1.855 0.557 3.444
baseline winter 2019 0.983 0.111 0.321 0.401 2.503 NaN NaN
forest winter 2019 0.983 0.111 0.265 0.362 1.952 0.548 4.241
baseline all 0.986 0.093 0.341 0.439 2.742 NaN NaN
forest all 0.983 0.093 0.297 0.412 2.417 0.552 4.086

Random forest plots

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Extended logistic regression results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 0.995 0.000e+00 0.323 0.454 1.601 NaN NaN
elr winter 2016 0.995 0.000e+00 0.342 0.478 1.746 0.635 5.826
baseline winter 2017 0.960 0.071 0.367 0.437 2.742 NaN NaN
elr winter 2017 0.944 0.071 0.403 0.480 2.923 0.623 6.646
baseline winter 2018 1.000 0.167 0.354 0.449 1.968 NaN NaN
elr winter 2018 1.000 0.208 0.296 0.414 1.641 0.629 5.750
baseline winter 2019 0.983 0.111 0.321 0.401 2.503 NaN NaN
elr winter 2019 0.983 0.111 0.300 0.395 2.179 0.591 4.882
baseline all 0.986 0.093 0.341 0.439 2.742 NaN NaN
elr all 0.983 0.107 0.336 0.446 2.923 0.622 5.815

Extended logistic regression plots

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