GMS location: 566

Random forest results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 0.995 0.000e+00 0.348 0.448 1.701 NaN NaN
forest winter 2016 0.995 0.000e+00 0.259 0.383 1.687 0.441 5.125
baseline winter 2017 0.957 0.000e+00 0.383 0.447 2.441 NaN NaN
forest winter 2017 0.966 0.000e+00 0.246 0.365 1.640 0.456 4.669
baseline winter 2018 0.987 0.042 0.268 0.405 1.433 NaN NaN
forest winter 2018 0.994 0.042 0.203 0.345 1.477 0.440 3.239
baseline winter 2019 0.993 0.000e+00 0.274 0.392 1.486 NaN NaN
forest winter 2019 1.000 0.000e+00 0.232 0.366 1.221 0.440 3.731
baseline all 0.985 0.016 0.316 0.423 2.441 NaN NaN
forest all 0.990 0.016 0.235 0.365 1.687 0.444 4.202

Random forest plots

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Extended logistic regression results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 0.995 0.000e+00 0.348 0.448 1.701 NaN NaN
elr winter 2016 0.995 0.000e+00 0.276 0.411 1.645 0.490 5.185
baseline winter 2017 0.957 0.000e+00 0.383 0.447 2.441 NaN NaN
elr winter 2017 0.957 0.000e+00 0.301 0.411 1.908 0.527 5.457
baseline winter 2018 0.987 0.042 0.268 0.405 1.433 NaN NaN
elr winter 2018 0.994 0.042 0.230 0.381 1.458 0.496 4.152
baseline winter 2019 0.993 0.000e+00 0.274 0.392 1.486 NaN NaN
elr winter 2019 1.000 0.000e+00 0.286 0.418 1.297 0.500 4.877
baseline all 0.985 0.016 0.316 0.423 2.441 NaN NaN
elr all 0.989 0.016 0.271 0.405 1.908 0.501 4.891

Extended logistic regression plots

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