GMS location: 565

Random forest results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 0.990 0.000e+00 0.346 0.445 1.781 NaN NaN
forest winter 2016 0.995 0.000e+00 0.272 0.397 1.858 0.446 4.258
baseline winter 2017 0.949 0.061 0.429 0.506 2.016 NaN NaN
forest winter 2017 0.958 0.061 0.269 0.395 1.716 0.454 4.023
baseline winter 2018 1.000 0.074 0.281 0.406 1.939 NaN NaN
forest winter 2018 1.000 0.074 0.218 0.349 1.796 0.447 3.061
baseline winter 2019 0.993 0.000e+00 0.290 0.397 1.681 NaN NaN
forest winter 2019 0.993 0.000e+00 0.225 0.375 1.488 0.440 3.078
baseline all 0.985 0.046 0.335 0.438 2.016 NaN NaN
forest all 0.988 0.046 0.247 0.379 1.858 0.447 3.637

Random forest plots

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Extended logistic regression results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 0.990 0.000e+00 0.346 0.445 1.781 NaN NaN
elr winter 2016 0.995 0.000e+00 0.320 0.440 1.822 0.506 4.646
baseline winter 2017 0.949 0.061 0.429 0.506 2.016 NaN NaN
elr winter 2017 0.958 0.030 0.338 0.451 1.690 0.494 4.911
baseline winter 2018 1.000 0.074 0.281 0.406 1.939 NaN NaN
elr winter 2018 1.000 0.037 0.237 0.371 2.020 0.504 3.950
baseline winter 2019 0.993 0.000e+00 0.290 0.397 1.681 NaN NaN
elr winter 2019 0.993 0.000e+00 0.244 0.390 1.577 0.502 4.478
baseline all 0.985 0.046 0.335 0.438 2.016 NaN NaN
elr all 0.988 0.023 0.286 0.413 2.020 0.502 4.493

Extended logistic regression plots

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