GMS location: 560

Random forest results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 0.989 0.000e+00 0.294 0.437 1.524 NaN NaN
forest winter 2016 1.000 0.000e+00 0.211 0.350 1.395 0.413 3.093
baseline winter 2017 0.968 0.036 0.407 0.467 2.503 NaN NaN
forest winter 2017 0.984 0.036 0.267 0.384 1.796 0.428 3.236
baseline winter 2018 0.986 0.038 0.388 0.479 1.715 NaN NaN
forest winter 2018 0.993 0.077 0.290 0.388 1.794 0.434 3.481
baseline winter 2019 0.983 0.000e+00 0.339 0.405 2.194 NaN NaN
forest winter 2019 0.983 0.100 0.247 0.373 1.815 0.422 2.748
baseline all 0.982 0.026 0.353 0.449 2.503 NaN NaN
forest all 0.991 0.051 0.252 0.372 1.815 0.424 3.157

Random forest plots

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Extended logistic regression results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 0.989 0.000e+00 0.294 0.437 1.524 NaN NaN
elr winter 2016 1.000 0.000e+00 0.217 0.381 1.345 0.480 3.795
baseline winter 2017 0.968 0.036 0.407 0.467 2.503 NaN NaN
elr winter 2017 0.984 0.036 0.305 0.411 1.947 0.510 5.753
baseline winter 2018 0.986 0.038 0.388 0.479 1.715 NaN NaN
elr winter 2018 0.986 0.115 0.336 0.432 2.014 0.525 6.489
baseline winter 2019 0.983 0.000e+00 0.339 0.405 2.194 NaN NaN
elr winter 2019 0.983 0.100 0.264 0.398 1.693 0.495 5.188
baseline all 0.982 0.026 0.353 0.449 2.503 NaN NaN
elr all 0.989 0.064 0.277 0.404 2.014 0.501 5.217

Extended logistic regression plots

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