GMS location: 553

Random forest results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 0.995 0.000e+00 0.340 0.441 1.893 NaN NaN
forest winter 2016 0.995 0.056 0.272 0.404 1.920 0.474 2.100
baseline winter 2017 0.972 0.000e+00 0.405 0.472 2.151 NaN NaN
forest winter 2017 0.972 0.000e+00 0.294 0.407 1.807 0.463 1.907
baseline winter 2018 0.980 0.111 0.387 0.451 3.783 NaN NaN
forest winter 2018 0.993 0.074 0.304 0.389 3.212 0.473 1.817
baseline winter 2019 0.986 0.133 0.598 0.546 3.028 NaN NaN
forest winter 2019 0.993 0.200 0.569 0.542 3.038 0.478 3.224
baseline all 0.985 0.058 0.425 0.474 3.783 NaN NaN
forest all 0.990 0.069 0.355 0.433 3.212 0.473 2.250

Random forest plots

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Extended logistic regression results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 0.995 0.000e+00 0.340 0.441 1.893 NaN NaN
elr winter 2016 0.995 0.000e+00 0.337 0.462 1.629 0.567 3.172
baseline winter 2017 0.972 0.000e+00 0.405 0.472 2.151 NaN NaN
elr winter 2017 0.972 0.000e+00 0.357 0.441 2.381 0.521 2.897
baseline winter 2018 0.980 0.111 0.387 0.451 3.783 NaN NaN
elr winter 2018 0.993 0.074 0.325 0.404 3.307 0.522 2.646
baseline winter 2019 0.986 0.133 0.598 0.546 3.028 NaN NaN
elr winter 2019 0.993 0.200 0.595 0.548 3.111 0.581 5.261
baseline all 0.985 0.058 0.425 0.474 3.783 NaN NaN
elr all 0.990 0.058 0.398 0.463 3.307 0.549 3.467

Extended logistic regression plots

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