GMS location: 532

Random forest results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 0.989 0.000e+00 0.338 0.434 2.045 NaN NaN
forest winter 2016 0.989 0.000e+00 0.291 0.418 1.627 0.618 3.935
baseline winter 2017 0.985 0.037 0.447 0.473 2.142 NaN NaN
forest winter 2017 1.000 0.037 0.348 0.411 1.776 0.583 4.687
baseline winter 2018 0.978 0.229 0.411 0.464 2.599 NaN NaN
forest winter 2018 0.957 0.200 0.385 0.459 2.467 0.602 4.933
baseline winter 2019 0.993 0.091 0.303 0.419 1.991 NaN NaN
forest winter 2019 0.993 0.091 0.241 0.371 1.643 0.607 3.736
baseline all 0.987 0.106 0.365 0.444 2.599 NaN NaN
forest all 0.983 0.096 0.313 0.416 2.467 0.606 4.272

Random forest plots

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Extended logistic regression results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 0.989 0.000e+00 0.338 0.434 2.045 NaN NaN
elr winter 2016 0.994 0.048 0.305 0.435 1.746 0.675 7.489
baseline winter 2017 0.985 0.037 0.447 0.473 2.142 NaN NaN
elr winter 2017 1.000 0.000e+00 0.359 0.426 1.777 0.661 8.359
baseline winter 2018 0.978 0.229 0.411 0.464 2.599 NaN NaN
elr winter 2018 0.957 0.143 0.409 0.482 2.464 0.708 9.273
baseline winter 2019 0.993 0.091 0.303 0.419 1.991 NaN NaN
elr winter 2019 1.000 0.000e+00 0.269 0.390 2.086 0.682 7.403
baseline all 0.987 0.106 0.365 0.444 2.599 NaN NaN
elr all 0.987 0.064 0.333 0.435 2.464 0.684 8.090

Extended logistic regression plots

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