GMS location: 509

Random forest results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 0.994 0.105 0.407 0.460 3.154 NaN NaN
forest winter 2016 0.994 0.105 0.370 0.437 3.031 0.468 1.957
baseline winter 2017 0.956 0.000e+00 0.811 0.606 3.994 NaN NaN
forest winter 2017 0.965 0.000e+00 0.730 0.558 4.114 0.441 1.878
baseline winter 2018 0.986 0.062 0.633 0.547 3.005 NaN NaN
forest winter 2018 0.979 0.062 0.659 0.545 2.936 0.498 3.229
baseline winter 2019 0.993 0.000e+00 0.217 0.360 1.700 NaN NaN
forest winter 2019 0.993 0.000e+00 0.249 0.372 1.598 0.460 1.887
baseline all 0.984 0.039 0.518 0.495 3.994 NaN NaN
forest all 0.984 0.039 0.502 0.479 4.114 0.468 2.255

Random forest plots

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Extended logistic regression results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 0.994 0.105 0.407 0.460 3.154 NaN NaN
elr winter 2016 0.988 0.053 0.397 0.463 2.986 0.539 2.022
baseline winter 2017 0.956 0.000e+00 0.811 0.606 3.994 NaN NaN
elr winter 2017 0.965 0.000e+00 0.796 0.570 4.139 0.480 2.072
baseline winter 2018 0.986 0.062 0.633 0.547 3.005 NaN NaN
elr winter 2018 0.979 0.125 0.673 0.558 3.030 0.538 2.512
baseline winter 2019 0.993 0.000e+00 0.217 0.360 1.700 NaN NaN
elr winter 2019 0.993 0.000e+00 0.206 0.348 1.262 0.487 1.560
baseline all 0.984 0.039 0.518 0.495 3.994 NaN NaN
elr all 0.982 0.049 0.520 0.487 4.139 0.514 2.061

Extended logistic regression plots

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