GMS location: 500

Random forest results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 0.977 0.059 0.300 0.414 1.915 NaN NaN
forest winter 2016 0.994 0.059 0.215 0.337 1.828 0.453 5.818
baseline winter 2017 0.960 0.071 0.356 0.459 2.021 NaN NaN
forest winter 2017 0.984 0.071 0.231 0.354 1.572 0.460 4.436
baseline winter 2018 0.993 0.130 0.289 0.408 1.650 NaN NaN
forest winter 2018 0.993 0.130 0.230 0.357 1.768 0.470 4.095
baseline winter 2019 0.979 0.000e+00 0.255 0.383 1.528 NaN NaN
forest winter 2019 0.979 0.000e+00 0.203 0.338 1.584 0.463 4.290
baseline all 0.978 0.078 0.300 0.416 2.021 NaN NaN
forest all 0.988 0.078 0.220 0.346 1.828 0.461 4.713

Random forest plots

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Extended logistic regression results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 0.977 0.059 0.300 0.414 1.915 NaN NaN
elr winter 2016 1.000 0.059 0.269 0.406 1.757 0.565 7.364
baseline winter 2017 0.960 0.071 0.356 0.459 2.021 NaN NaN
elr winter 2017 0.976 0.107 0.277 0.411 1.770 0.525 6.463
baseline winter 2018 0.993 0.130 0.289 0.408 1.650 NaN NaN
elr winter 2018 0.979 0.130 0.254 0.384 1.650 0.538 7.287
baseline winter 2019 0.979 0.000e+00 0.255 0.383 1.528 NaN NaN
elr winter 2019 0.986 0.000e+00 0.226 0.358 1.619 0.526 5.940
baseline all 0.978 0.078 0.300 0.416 2.021 NaN NaN
elr all 0.986 0.091 0.257 0.391 1.770 0.540 6.812

Extended logistic regression plots

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