GMS location: 479

Random forest results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 1.000 0.033 0.285 0.412 1.781 NaN NaN
forest winter 2016 0.994 0.033 0.257 0.387 1.654 0.632 1.868
baseline winter 2017 0.991 0.000e+00 4.867 0.785 1.348e+01 NaN NaN
forest winter 2017 0.991 0.023 4.754 0.725 1.338e+01 0.459 4.531
baseline winter 2018 0.982 0.000e+00 0.327 0.404 2.914 NaN NaN
forest winter 2018 0.991 0.074 0.408 0.453 2.855 0.746 2.056
baseline winter 2019 0.992 0.000e+00 0.295 0.386 1.915 NaN NaN
forest winter 2019 1.000 0.000e+00 0.232 0.338 1.653 0.633 2.009
baseline all 0.992 8.800e-03 1.436 0.498 1.348e+01 NaN NaN
forest all 0.994 0.035 1.403 0.475 1.338e+01 0.615 2.604

Random forest plots

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Extended logistic regression results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 1.000 0.033 0.285 0.412 1.781 NaN NaN
elr winter 2016 0.987 0.067 0.318 0.435 2.051 0.525 2.318
baseline winter 2017 0.991 0.000e+00 4.867 0.785 1.348e+01 NaN NaN
elr winter 2017 0.991 0.023 4.819 0.753 1.352e+01 0.531 7.243
baseline winter 2018 0.982 0.000e+00 0.327 0.404 2.914 NaN NaN
elr winter 2018 0.991 0.074 0.396 0.445 3.547 0.511 2.261
baseline winter 2019 0.992 0.000e+00 0.295 0.386 1.915 NaN NaN
elr winter 2019 1.000 0.083 0.221 0.345 1.609 0.446 1.319
baseline all 0.992 8.800e-03 1.436 0.498 1.348e+01 NaN NaN
elr all 0.992 0.053 1.434 0.496 1.352e+01 0.506 3.310

Extended logistic regression plots

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