GMS location: 478

Random forest results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 0.976 0.048 0.392 0.459 2.366 NaN NaN
forest winter 2016 0.970 0.000e+00 0.330 0.416 2.139 0.553 3.377
baseline winter 2017 0.982 0.024 0.395 0.454 2.597 NaN NaN
forest winter 2017 0.991 0.049 0.358 0.430 2.295 0.525 2.840
baseline winter 2018 0.993 0.212 0.511 0.520 2.165 NaN NaN
forest winter 2018 0.978 0.121 0.447 0.479 2.247 0.544 2.956
baseline winter 2019 0.993 0.062 0.325 0.422 2.072 NaN NaN
forest winter 2019 0.986 0.062 0.248 0.365 1.467 0.551 2.521
baseline all 0.986 0.090 0.407 0.464 2.597 NaN NaN
forest all 0.980 0.063 0.346 0.423 2.295 0.544 2.945

Random forest plots

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Extended logistic regression results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 0.976 0.048 0.392 0.459 2.366 NaN NaN
elr winter 2016 0.970 0.000e+00 0.373 0.457 2.039 0.658 4.225
baseline winter 2017 0.982 0.024 0.395 0.454 2.597 NaN NaN
elr winter 2017 0.982 0.024 0.361 0.468 2.076 0.580 3.861
baseline winter 2018 0.993 0.212 0.511 0.520 2.165 NaN NaN
elr winter 2018 0.985 0.151 0.438 0.500 2.066 0.644 4.751
baseline winter 2019 0.993 0.062 0.325 0.422 2.072 NaN NaN
elr winter 2019 0.993 0.062 0.280 0.424 1.379 0.606 3.728
baseline all 0.986 0.090 0.407 0.464 2.597 NaN NaN
elr all 0.982 0.063 0.364 0.462 2.076 0.625 4.156

Extended logistic regression plots

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