GMS location: 475

Random forest results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 0.975 0.167 0.814 0.680 3.332 NaN NaN
forest winter 2016 0.981 0.133 0.475 0.512 2.630 0.421 2.875
baseline winter 2017 0.936 0.000e+00 0.872 0.680 3.267 NaN NaN
forest winter 2017 0.963 0.000e+00 0.395 0.474 2.140 0.421 1.721
baseline winter 2018 0.977 0.103 0.554 0.562 2.063 NaN NaN
forest winter 2018 0.992 0.128 0.425 0.483 2.553 0.422 1.812
baseline winter 2019 0.969 0.056 0.722 0.596 3.205 NaN NaN
forest winter 2019 0.992 0.111 0.384 0.463 1.882 0.421 1.664
baseline all 0.966 0.080 0.739 0.630 3.332 NaN NaN
forest all 0.983 0.088 0.424 0.485 2.630 0.421 2.068

Random forest plots

My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :)

Extended logistic regression results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 0.975 0.167 0.814 0.680 3.332 NaN NaN
elr winter 2016 0.975 0.133 0.555 0.561 2.927 0.467 1.801
baseline winter 2017 0.936 0.000e+00 0.872 0.680 3.267 NaN NaN
elr winter 2017 0.963 0.026 0.476 0.509 2.167 0.424 1.441
baseline winter 2018 0.977 0.103 0.554 0.562 2.063 NaN NaN
elr winter 2018 0.985 0.154 0.460 0.502 2.528 0.486 1.783
baseline winter 2019 0.969 0.056 0.722 0.596 3.205 NaN NaN
elr winter 2019 0.992 0.167 0.410 0.481 2.410 0.462 1.583
baseline all 0.966 0.080 0.739 0.630 3.332 NaN NaN
elr all 0.979 0.112 0.480 0.516 2.927 0.461 1.667

Extended logistic regression plots

My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :)