GMS location: 472

Random forest results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 0.988 0.077 0.366 0.457 1.590 NaN NaN
forest winter 2016 0.982 0.115 0.303 0.415 1.483 0.473 4.789
baseline winter 2017 0.973 0.000e+00 0.430 0.471 2.384 NaN NaN
forest winter 2017 0.955 0.000e+00 0.326 0.413 1.715 0.480 5.691
baseline winter 2018 0.993 0.158 0.259 0.374 2.134 NaN NaN
forest winter 2018 0.993 0.132 0.237 0.372 1.916 0.481 3.737
baseline winter 2019 0.980 0.000e+00 0.248 0.371 1.704 NaN NaN
forest winter 2019 0.993 0.000e+00 0.181 0.322 1.320 0.461 3.759
baseline all 0.984 0.067 0.324 0.418 2.384 NaN NaN
forest all 0.982 0.067 0.262 0.381 1.916 0.474 4.463

Random forest plots

My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :)

Extended logistic regression results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 0.988 0.077 0.366 0.457 1.590 NaN NaN
elr winter 2016 0.969 0.115 0.316 0.433 1.820 0.546 5.377
baseline winter 2017 0.973 0.000e+00 0.430 0.471 2.384 NaN NaN
elr winter 2017 0.955 0.000e+00 0.344 0.430 1.990 0.532 5.378
baseline winter 2018 0.993 0.158 0.259 0.374 2.134 NaN NaN
elr winter 2018 0.993 0.158 0.262 0.398 1.895 0.562 4.724
baseline winter 2019 0.980 0.000e+00 0.248 0.371 1.704 NaN NaN
elr winter 2019 0.993 0.000e+00 0.204 0.350 1.310 0.504 3.588
baseline all 0.984 0.067 0.324 0.418 2.384 NaN NaN
elr all 0.979 0.075 0.281 0.403 1.990 0.537 4.777

Extended logistic regression plots

My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :)