GMS location: 423

Random forest results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 1.000 0.000e+00 0.293 0.414 1.999 NaN NaN
forest winter 2016 1.000 0.000e+00 0.236 0.350 1.978 0.455 3.537
baseline winter 2017 0.972 0.026 0.495 0.504 3.254 NaN NaN
forest winter 2017 0.972 0.026 0.336 0.422 2.547 0.431 3.424
baseline winter 2018 0.977 0.118 0.315 0.399 2.091 NaN NaN
forest winter 2018 0.985 0.118 0.288 0.383 1.925 0.432 2.996
baseline winter 2019 1.000 0.000e+00 0.286 0.378 2.200 NaN NaN
forest winter 2019 1.000 0.167 0.261 0.375 2.119 0.436 3.230
baseline all 0.989 0.048 0.343 0.424 3.254 NaN NaN
forest all 0.991 0.057 0.277 0.380 2.547 0.440 3.311

Random forest plots

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Extended logistic regression results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 1.000 0.000e+00 0.293 0.414 1.999 NaN NaN
elr winter 2016 0.994 0.000e+00 0.292 0.418 2.031 0.514 3.765
baseline winter 2017 0.972 0.026 0.495 0.504 3.254 NaN NaN
elr winter 2017 0.962 0.026 0.420 0.480 2.850 0.477 3.793
baseline winter 2018 0.977 0.118 0.315 0.399 2.091 NaN NaN
elr winter 2018 0.977 0.088 0.311 0.411 2.134 0.518 3.865
baseline winter 2019 1.000 0.000e+00 0.286 0.378 2.200 NaN NaN
elr winter 2019 1.000 0.000e+00 0.364 0.458 2.113 0.475 3.366
baseline all 0.989 0.048 0.343 0.424 3.254 NaN NaN
elr all 0.985 0.038 0.340 0.438 2.850 0.499 3.721

Extended logistic regression plots

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