GMS location: 422

• Random forest results
• Random forest plots
• Extended logistic regression results
• Extended logistic regression plots

Random forest results

names	period	power	significance	meanSquareError	absError	maxError	CRPS	IGN
baseline	winter 2018	0.961	0.000e+00	0.372	0.468	1.588	NaN	NaN
forest	winter 2018	0.961	0.048	0.343	0.445	1.764	0.419	3.384
baseline	winter 2019	0.977	0.000e+00	0.372	0.428	2.402	NaN	NaN
forest	winter 2019	0.977	0.040	0.377	0.448	2.212	0.512	3.416
baseline	all	0.973	0.000e+00	0.372	0.441	2.402	NaN	NaN
forest	all	0.973	0.043	0.366	0.447	2.212	0.483	3.406

Random forest plots

Extended logistic regression results

names	period	power	significance	meanSquareError	absError	maxError	CRPS	IGN
baseline	winter 2018	0.961	0.000e+00	0.372	0.468	1.588	NaN	NaN
elr	winter 2018	0.980	0.048	0.352	0.463	1.655	0.472	3.206
baseline	winter 2019	0.977	0.000e+00	0.372	0.428	2.402	NaN	NaN
elr	winter 2019	0.992	0.040	0.388	0.464	2.265	0.556	4.264
baseline	all	0.973	0.000e+00	0.372	0.441	2.402	NaN	NaN
elr	all	0.989	0.043	0.377	0.463	2.265	0.529	3.930

Extended logistic regression plots