GMS location: 417

Random forest results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 0.977 0.065 0.466 0.477 3.163 NaN NaN
forest winter 2016 0.977 0.032 0.400 0.424 3.247 0.442 3.085
baseline winter 2017 1.000 0.022 0.366 0.424 2.396 NaN NaN
forest winter 2017 1.000 0.022 0.303 0.400 2.001 0.440 2.257
baseline winter 2018 0.985 0.073 0.509 0.495 3.696 NaN NaN
forest winter 2018 0.978 0.122 0.439 0.451 3.516 0.456 2.708
baseline winter 2019 0.985 0.000e+00 0.332 0.395 2.293 NaN NaN
forest winter 2019 0.993 0.000e+00 0.254 0.350 1.816 0.444 2.025
baseline all 0.986 0.044 0.422 0.449 3.696 NaN NaN
forest all 0.986 0.051 0.353 0.408 3.516 0.446 2.534

Random forest plots

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Extended logistic regression results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 0.977 0.065 0.466 0.477 3.163 NaN NaN
elr winter 2016 0.977 0.032 0.397 0.451 3.104 0.506 2.975
baseline winter 2017 1.000 0.022 0.366 0.424 2.396 NaN NaN
elr winter 2017 0.972 0.044 0.385 0.449 2.463 0.505 2.577
baseline winter 2018 0.985 0.073 0.509 0.495 3.696 NaN NaN
elr winter 2018 0.978 0.122 0.450 0.460 3.216 0.532 3.356
baseline winter 2019 0.985 0.000e+00 0.332 0.395 2.293 NaN NaN
elr winter 2019 0.993 0.000e+00 0.290 0.400 2.001 0.482 2.230
baseline all 0.986 0.044 0.422 0.449 3.696 NaN NaN
elr all 0.980 0.059 0.383 0.441 3.216 0.507 2.806

Extended logistic regression plots

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