GMS location: 416

Random forest results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 1.000 0.071 0.660 0.503 5.111 NaN NaN
forest winter 2016 0.981 0.036 0.614 0.459 5.293 0.461 5.634
baseline winter 2017 0.991 0.026 0.366 0.431 2.488 NaN NaN
forest winter 2017 0.983 0.026 0.281 0.385 1.712 0.447 2.604
baseline winter 2018 1.000 0.121 0.323 0.433 1.766 NaN NaN
forest winter 2018 1.000 0.182 0.256 0.377 1.563 0.463 2.401
baseline winter 2019 0.986 0.000e+00 0.427 0.466 2.444 NaN NaN
forest winter 2019 0.986 0.000e+00 0.337 0.424 1.893 0.476 2.576
baseline all 0.995 0.061 0.453 0.460 5.111 NaN NaN
forest all 0.987 0.070 0.382 0.413 5.293 0.462 3.406

Random forest plots

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Extended logistic regression results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 1.000 0.071 0.660 0.503 5.111 NaN NaN
elr winter 2016 0.981 0.036 0.661 0.485 5.440 0.552 4.815
baseline winter 2017 0.991 0.026 0.366 0.431 2.488 NaN NaN
elr winter 2017 0.947 0.051 0.339 0.440 2.313 0.491 2.049
baseline winter 2018 1.000 0.121 0.323 0.433 1.766 NaN NaN
elr winter 2018 0.993 0.182 0.290 0.410 1.746 0.523 2.166
baseline winter 2019 0.986 0.000e+00 0.427 0.466 2.444 NaN NaN
elr winter 2019 0.993 0.000e+00 0.352 0.444 1.887 0.531 2.228
baseline all 0.995 0.061 0.453 0.460 5.111 NaN NaN
elr all 0.980 0.079 0.421 0.446 5.440 0.526 2.905

Extended logistic regression plots

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