GMS location: 382

Random forest results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 0.966 0.130 0.368 0.459 1.734 NaN NaN
forest winter 2016 0.973 0.217 0.335 0.439 1.576 0.456 1.983
baseline winter 2017 0.973 0.071 0.463 0.504 3.080 NaN NaN
forest winter 2017 0.964 0.048 0.386 0.467 2.530 0.472 2.188
baseline winter 2018 1.000 0.128 0.490 0.507 2.599 NaN NaN
forest winter 2018 0.993 0.051 0.470 0.484 2.793 0.456 1.822
baseline winter 2019 1.000 0.091 0.515 0.497 2.805 NaN NaN
forest winter 2019 1.000 0.091 0.433 0.450 2.806 0.443 1.835
baseline all 0.985 0.103 0.459 0.492 3.080 NaN NaN
forest all 0.983 0.087 0.407 0.460 2.806 0.457 1.950

Random forest plots

My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :)

Extended logistic regression results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 0.966 0.130 0.368 0.459 1.734 NaN NaN
elr winter 2016 0.973 0.217 0.337 0.456 1.706 0.513 2.303
baseline winter 2017 0.973 0.071 0.463 0.504 3.080 NaN NaN
elr winter 2017 0.973 0.024 0.402 0.486 2.445 0.561 2.812
baseline winter 2018 1.000 0.128 0.490 0.507 2.599 NaN NaN
elr winter 2018 0.993 0.051 0.453 0.490 2.819 0.517 2.611
baseline winter 2019 1.000 0.091 0.515 0.497 2.805 NaN NaN
elr winter 2019 1.000 0.091 0.443 0.457 3.003 0.488 2.297
baseline all 0.985 0.103 0.459 0.492 3.080 NaN NaN
elr all 0.985 0.079 0.409 0.472 3.003 0.519 2.501

Extended logistic regression plots

My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :)