GMS location: 380

Random forest results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 0.995 0.000e+00 0.528 0.558 2.087 NaN NaN
forest winter 2016 0.995 0.000e+00 0.372 0.470 2.338 0.439 1.776
baseline winter 2017 0.938 0.000e+00 0.583 0.550 2.940 NaN NaN
forest winter 2017 0.977 0.000e+00 0.295 0.396 2.212 0.422 1.795
baseline winter 2018 0.986 0.000e+00 0.370 0.434 2.927 NaN NaN
forest winter 2018 1.000 0.125 0.456 0.455 3.040 0.486 1.599
baseline winter 2019 0.986 0.154 1.418 0.749 5.930 NaN NaN
forest winter 2019 0.986 0.154 1.628 0.767 6.455 0.404 2.346
baseline all 0.979 0.027 0.710 0.571 5.930 NaN NaN
forest all 0.990 0.067 0.668 0.519 6.455 0.439 1.870

Random forest plots

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Extended logistic regression results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 0.995 0.000e+00 0.528 0.558 2.087 NaN NaN
elr winter 2016 0.995 0.000e+00 0.431 0.524 1.861 0.488 1.397
baseline winter 2017 0.938 0.000e+00 0.583 0.550 2.940 NaN NaN
elr winter 2017 0.985 0.000e+00 0.348 0.418 2.259 0.391 1.048
baseline winter 2018 0.986 0.000e+00 0.370 0.434 2.927 NaN NaN
elr winter 2018 1.000 0.125 0.311 0.440 2.308 0.447 1.239
baseline winter 2019 0.986 0.154 1.418 0.749 5.930 NaN NaN
elr winter 2019 1.000 0.231 1.858 0.811 6.683 0.506 3.747
baseline all 0.979 0.027 0.710 0.571 5.930 NaN NaN
elr all 0.995 0.080 0.716 0.547 6.683 0.461 1.829

Extended logistic regression plots

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