GMS location: 378

Random forest results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 0.984 0.105 0.421 0.485 2.401 NaN NaN
forest winter 2016 0.995 0.158 0.358 0.451 2.439 0.449 1.820
baseline winter 2017 0.965 0.077 0.515 0.537 2.176 NaN NaN
forest winter 2017 0.965 0.051 0.368 0.460 1.768 0.474 2.552
baseline winter 2018 1.000 0.083 0.395 0.475 2.297 NaN NaN
forest winter 2018 0.993 0.056 0.319 0.407 2.619 0.459 1.756
baseline winter 2019 1.000 0.059 0.556 0.506 3.619 NaN NaN
forest winter 2019 1.000 0.000e+00 0.448 0.455 3.599 0.451 1.990
baseline all 0.988 0.081 0.467 0.499 3.619 NaN NaN
forest all 0.990 0.063 0.372 0.443 3.599 0.457 2.004

Random forest plots

My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :)

Extended logistic regression results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 0.984 0.105 0.421 0.485 2.401 NaN NaN
elr winter 2016 0.995 0.158 0.355 0.457 2.377 0.519 3.056
baseline winter 2017 0.965 0.077 0.515 0.537 2.176 NaN NaN
elr winter 2017 0.956 0.051 0.398 0.488 1.804 0.526 3.229
baseline winter 2018 1.000 0.083 0.395 0.475 2.297 NaN NaN
elr winter 2018 0.993 0.083 0.350 0.442 2.428 0.521 2.964
baseline winter 2019 1.000 0.059 0.556 0.506 3.619 NaN NaN
elr winter 2019 1.000 0.000e+00 0.477 0.478 3.862 0.502 3.477
baseline all 0.988 0.081 0.467 0.499 3.619 NaN NaN
elr all 0.988 0.072 0.392 0.465 3.862 0.517 3.172

Extended logistic regression plots

My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :)