GMS location: 377

Random forest results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 0.978 0.000e+00 0.393 0.477 1.999 NaN NaN
forest winter 2016 0.989 0.067 0.326 0.441 1.940 0.465 3.942
baseline winter 2017 0.952 0.038 0.329 0.427 2.315 NaN NaN
forest winter 2017 0.960 0.038 0.226 0.366 1.687 0.451 2.848
baseline winter 2018 0.990 0.103 0.288 0.414 1.676 NaN NaN
forest winter 2018 0.990 0.172 0.282 0.405 1.705 0.478 3.585
baseline winter 2019 0.987 0.091 0.284 0.390 1.997 NaN NaN
forest winter 2019 0.987 0.091 0.273 0.385 1.714 0.459 2.726
baseline all 0.977 0.062 0.330 0.430 2.315 NaN NaN
forest all 0.982 0.099 0.280 0.402 1.940 0.463 3.307

Random forest plots

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Extended logistic regression results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 0.978 0.000e+00 0.393 0.477 1.999 NaN NaN
elr winter 2016 0.984 0.000e+00 0.326 0.443 1.831 0.509 5.312
baseline winter 2017 0.952 0.038 0.329 0.427 2.315 NaN NaN
elr winter 2017 0.968 0.038 0.266 0.391 1.912 0.487 5.109
baseline winter 2018 0.990 0.103 0.288 0.414 1.676 NaN NaN
elr winter 2018 0.990 0.138 0.295 0.414 1.748 0.579 6.438
baseline winter 2019 0.987 0.091 0.284 0.390 1.997 NaN NaN
elr winter 2019 0.987 0.091 0.276 0.373 1.755 0.528 4.661
baseline all 0.977 0.062 0.330 0.430 2.315 NaN NaN
elr all 0.982 0.074 0.293 0.407 1.912 0.523 5.330

Extended logistic regression plots

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