GMS location: 376

Random forest results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 0.995 0.000e+00 0.286 0.401 2.000 NaN NaN
forest winter 2016 1.000 0.182 0.265 0.390 1.932 0.476 2.878
baseline winter 2017 0.985 0.045 0.380 0.448 2.188 NaN NaN
forest winter 2017 0.985 0.045 0.301 0.409 1.764 0.479 3.078
baseline winter 2018 0.988 0.100 0.377 0.407 4.575 NaN NaN
forest winter 2018 0.982 0.050 0.357 0.381 4.673 0.510 3.646
baseline winter 2019 0.987 0.000e+00 0.231 0.353 1.892 NaN NaN
forest winter 2019 0.987 0.000e+00 0.201 0.330 1.482 0.492 2.869
baseline all 0.989 0.048 0.318 0.402 4.575 NaN NaN
forest all 0.989 0.065 0.283 0.378 4.673 0.489 3.120

Random forest plots

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Extended logistic regression results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 0.995 0.000e+00 0.286 0.401 2.000 NaN NaN
elr winter 2016 0.990 0.091 0.304 0.422 2.012 0.562 4.869
baseline winter 2017 0.985 0.045 0.380 0.448 2.188 NaN NaN
elr winter 2017 0.970 0.045 0.360 0.459 1.964 0.540 5.748
baseline winter 2018 0.988 0.100 0.377 0.407 4.575 NaN NaN
elr winter 2018 0.988 0.050 0.381 0.409 4.703 0.559 5.986
baseline winter 2019 0.987 0.000e+00 0.231 0.353 1.892 NaN NaN
elr winter 2019 0.987 0.111 0.216 0.353 1.617 0.513 3.810
baseline all 0.989 0.048 0.318 0.402 4.575 NaN NaN
elr all 0.984 0.065 0.316 0.411 4.703 0.545 5.115

Extended logistic regression plots

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