GMS location: 375

Random forest results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 1.000 0.071 0.295 0.429 1.513 NaN NaN
forest winter 2016 1.000 0.143 0.245 0.394 1.532 0.447 3.807
baseline winter 2017 0.985 0.000e+00 0.363 0.424 2.484 NaN NaN
forest winter 2017 0.977 0.000e+00 0.248 0.352 2.038 0.452 3.768
baseline winter 2018 0.977 0.059 0.317 0.449 1.797 NaN NaN
forest winter 2018 0.985 0.118 0.227 0.365 1.698 0.455 3.476
baseline winter 2019 0.993 0.000e+00 0.382 0.436 2.645 NaN NaN
forest winter 2019 0.993 0.182 0.273 0.373 2.734 0.459 3.672
baseline all 0.990 0.031 0.337 0.434 2.645 NaN NaN
forest all 0.990 0.094 0.248 0.372 2.734 0.453 3.690

Random forest plots

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Extended logistic regression results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 1.000 0.071 0.295 0.429 1.513 NaN NaN
elr winter 2016 1.000 0.214 0.276 0.419 1.450 0.492 3.955
baseline winter 2017 0.985 0.000e+00 0.363 0.424 2.484 NaN NaN
elr winter 2017 0.977 0.000e+00 0.282 0.396 1.980 0.522 5.514
baseline winter 2018 0.977 0.059 0.317 0.449 1.797 NaN NaN
elr winter 2018 0.985 0.059 0.248 0.383 1.779 0.511 4.291
baseline winter 2019 0.993 0.000e+00 0.382 0.436 2.645 NaN NaN
elr winter 2019 0.993 0.091 0.328 0.424 3.022 0.536 6.409
baseline all 0.990 0.031 0.337 0.434 2.645 NaN NaN
elr all 0.990 0.078 0.283 0.406 3.022 0.514 4.975

Extended logistic regression plots

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