GMS location: 371

Random forest results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 1.000 0.182 0.275 0.402 1.644 NaN NaN
forest winter 2016 1.000 0.273 0.271 0.401 1.783 0.481 4.167
baseline winter 2017 0.970 0.056 0.484 0.501 2.228 NaN NaN
forest winter 2017 0.980 0.056 0.364 0.446 1.777 0.473 4.829
baseline winter 2018 0.970 0.000e+00 0.268 0.409 1.502 NaN NaN
forest winter 2018 0.976 0.133 0.215 0.356 1.381 0.495 3.252
baseline winter 2019 0.987 0.000e+00 0.248 0.362 2.004 NaN NaN
forest winter 2019 0.994 0.000e+00 0.206 0.340 1.605 0.503 3.812
baseline all 0.984 0.059 0.304 0.412 2.228 NaN NaN
forest all 0.989 0.118 0.256 0.382 1.783 0.488 3.947

Random forest plots

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Extended logistic regression results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 1.000 0.182 0.275 0.402 1.644 NaN NaN
elr winter 2016 1.000 0.273 0.305 0.423 1.851 0.527 4.672
baseline winter 2017 0.970 0.056 0.484 0.501 2.228 NaN NaN
elr winter 2017 0.970 0.000e+00 0.412 0.473 2.060 0.491 5.308
baseline winter 2018 0.970 0.000e+00 0.268 0.409 1.502 NaN NaN
elr winter 2018 0.976 0.000e+00 0.258 0.406 1.344 0.535 4.488
baseline winter 2019 0.987 0.000e+00 0.248 0.362 2.004 NaN NaN
elr winter 2019 0.994 0.000e+00 0.211 0.349 1.744 0.501 3.797
baseline all 0.984 0.059 0.304 0.412 2.228 NaN NaN
elr all 0.987 0.059 0.288 0.409 2.060 0.516 4.522

Extended logistic regression plots

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