GMS location: 364

Random forest results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 0.991 0.000e+00 0.289 0.424 1.339 NaN NaN
forest winter 2016 0.991 0.000e+00 0.252 0.373 1.560 0.469 4.638
baseline winter 2017 0.968 0.000e+00 0.303 0.428 2.151 NaN NaN
forest winter 2017 0.960 0.000e+00 0.226 0.367 1.647 0.475 4.514
baseline winter 2018 0.985 0.191 0.356 0.449 2.438 NaN NaN
forest winter 2018 0.992 0.191 0.296 0.398 2.280 0.484 5.000
baseline winter 2019 0.992 0.167 0.240 0.376 1.349 NaN NaN
forest winter 2019 0.992 0.167 0.194 0.341 1.215 0.464 3.647
baseline all 0.984 0.083 0.299 0.420 2.438 NaN NaN
forest all 0.984 0.083 0.243 0.370 2.280 0.474 4.464

Random forest plots

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Extended logistic regression results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 0.991 0.000e+00 0.289 0.424 1.339 NaN NaN
elr winter 2016 0.991 0.000e+00 0.244 0.388 1.362 0.530 5.866
baseline winter 2017 0.968 0.000e+00 0.303 0.428 2.151 NaN NaN
elr winter 2017 0.968 0.000e+00 0.254 0.388 2.191 0.538 5.865
baseline winter 2018 0.985 0.191 0.356 0.449 2.438 NaN NaN
elr winter 2018 0.992 0.143 0.335 0.430 2.210 0.544 7.435
baseline winter 2019 0.992 0.167 0.240 0.376 1.349 NaN NaN
elr winter 2019 0.992 0.167 0.221 0.353 1.635 0.536 5.588
baseline all 0.984 0.083 0.299 0.420 2.438 NaN NaN
elr all 0.986 0.067 0.266 0.391 2.210 0.538 6.227

Extended logistic regression plots

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