GMS location: 363

Random forest results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 0.989 0.091 0.368 0.451 2.026 NaN NaN
forest winter 2016 0.994 0.091 0.305 0.404 1.912 0.470 2.526
baseline winter 2017 0.975 0.059 0.479 0.505 2.351 NaN NaN
forest winter 2017 0.983 0.059 0.359 0.444 1.849 0.477 3.323
baseline winter 2018 0.991 0.094 0.384 0.425 3.639 NaN NaN
forest winter 2018 0.981 0.125 0.342 0.391 3.827 0.488 2.851
baseline winter 2019 0.994 0.067 0.303 0.411 1.703 NaN NaN
forest winter 2019 0.994 0.067 0.262 0.391 1.654 0.464 2.202
baseline all 0.987 0.078 0.380 0.448 3.639 NaN NaN
forest all 0.989 0.087 0.314 0.407 3.827 0.474 2.696

Random forest plots

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Extended logistic regression results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 0.989 0.091 0.368 0.451 2.026 NaN NaN
elr winter 2016 0.989 0.091 0.327 0.439 2.149 0.536 3.924
baseline winter 2017 0.975 0.059 0.479 0.505 2.351 NaN NaN
elr winter 2017 0.983 0.029 0.388 0.459 2.031 0.524 3.889
baseline winter 2018 0.991 0.094 0.384 0.425 3.639 NaN NaN
elr winter 2018 0.962 0.125 0.321 0.401 2.741 0.550 4.267
baseline winter 2019 0.994 0.067 0.303 0.411 1.703 NaN NaN
elr winter 2019 1.000 0.067 0.295 0.423 1.605 0.510 3.091
baseline all 0.987 0.078 0.380 0.448 3.639 NaN NaN
elr all 0.986 0.078 0.331 0.432 2.741 0.529 3.774

Extended logistic regression plots

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