GMS location: 361

Random forest results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 0.979 0.000e+00 0.411 0.501 1.742 NaN NaN
forest winter 2016 0.989 0.059 0.284 0.416 1.806 0.419 3.344
baseline winter 2017 0.943 0.033 0.510 0.514 2.554 NaN NaN
forest winter 2017 0.976 0.033 0.323 0.419 1.981 0.442 4.195
baseline winter 2018 0.986 0.111 0.325 0.432 1.913 NaN NaN
forest winter 2018 0.993 0.148 0.307 0.403 2.655 0.427 2.801
baseline winter 2019 0.993 0.000e+00 0.461 0.506 2.171 NaN NaN
forest winter 2019 1.000 0.077 0.325 0.443 1.786 0.414 2.829
baseline all 0.977 0.046 0.423 0.488 2.554 NaN NaN
forest all 0.990 0.081 0.308 0.419 2.655 0.425 3.281

Random forest plots

My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :)

Extended logistic regression results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 0.979 0.000e+00 0.411 0.501 1.742 NaN NaN
elr winter 2016 0.989 0.000e+00 0.312 0.450 1.813 0.506 3.143
baseline winter 2017 0.943 0.033 0.510 0.514 2.554 NaN NaN
elr winter 2017 0.984 0.033 0.361 0.436 2.063 0.463 3.021
baseline winter 2018 0.986 0.111 0.325 0.432 1.913 NaN NaN
elr winter 2018 0.979 0.111 0.345 0.429 2.806 0.507 3.469
baseline winter 2019 0.993 0.000e+00 0.461 0.506 2.171 NaN NaN
elr winter 2019 1.000 0.077 0.300 0.428 1.726 0.463 2.849
baseline all 0.977 0.046 0.423 0.488 2.554 NaN NaN
elr all 0.988 0.058 0.329 0.436 2.806 0.487 3.129

Extended logistic regression plots

My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :)