GMS location: 360

Random forest results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 0.990 0.000e+00 0.577 0.586 2.144 NaN NaN
forest winter 2016 1.000 0.125 0.274 0.402 1.789 0.396 2.761
baseline winter 2017 0.956 0.069 0.642 0.604 2.958 NaN NaN
forest winter 2017 0.982 0.069 0.312 0.423 2.130 0.414 3.224
baseline winter 2018 0.987 0.182 0.481 0.528 1.848 NaN NaN
forest winter 2018 0.994 0.182 0.295 0.412 1.846 0.401 2.252
baseline winter 2019 0.986 0.000e+00 0.606 0.569 2.548 NaN NaN
forest winter 2019 0.993 0.000e+00 0.270 0.383 1.587 0.403 2.217
baseline all 0.982 0.078 0.572 0.570 2.958 NaN NaN
forest all 0.993 0.104 0.286 0.405 2.130 0.403 2.601

Random forest plots

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Extended logistic regression results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 0.990 0.000e+00 0.577 0.586 2.144 NaN NaN
elr winter 2016 0.995 0.125 0.291 0.433 2.003 0.498 3.360
baseline winter 2017 0.956 0.069 0.642 0.604 2.958 NaN NaN
elr winter 2017 0.974 0.000e+00 0.351 0.444 2.114 0.469 3.239
baseline winter 2018 0.987 0.182 0.481 0.528 1.848 NaN NaN
elr winter 2018 0.987 0.182 0.314 0.418 2.313 0.509 3.779
baseline winter 2019 0.986 0.000e+00 0.606 0.569 2.548 NaN NaN
elr winter 2019 0.986 0.000e+00 0.275 0.384 2.020 0.487 3.245
baseline all 0.982 0.078 0.572 0.570 2.958 NaN NaN
elr all 0.987 0.078 0.306 0.420 2.313 0.492 3.418

Extended logistic regression plots

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