GMS location: 358

Random forest results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 0.973 0.000e+00 0.432 0.517 1.630 NaN NaN
forest winter 2016 0.995 0.067 0.307 0.419 1.903 0.414 2.882
baseline winter 2017 0.951 0.000e+00 0.365 0.473 1.853 NaN NaN
forest winter 2017 0.959 0.000e+00 0.248 0.383 1.431 0.442 3.197
baseline winter 2018 0.980 0.107 0.366 0.464 1.897 NaN NaN
forest winter 2018 0.987 0.107 0.292 0.415 1.678 0.430 2.626
baseline winter 2019 0.993 0.000e+00 0.336 0.433 1.953 NaN NaN
forest winter 2019 0.993 0.000e+00 0.230 0.359 1.950 0.413 2.359
baseline all 0.975 0.036 0.378 0.474 1.953 NaN NaN
forest all 0.985 0.048 0.273 0.396 1.950 0.424 2.765

Random forest plots

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Extended logistic regression results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 0.973 0.000e+00 0.432 0.517 1.630 NaN NaN
elr winter 2016 0.984 0.000e+00 0.328 0.451 1.723 0.476 4.140
baseline winter 2017 0.951 0.000e+00 0.365 0.473 1.853 NaN NaN
elr winter 2017 0.951 0.000e+00 0.277 0.408 1.506 0.499 3.778
baseline winter 2018 0.980 0.107 0.366 0.464 1.897 NaN NaN
elr winter 2018 0.980 0.071 0.308 0.424 1.931 0.489 4.133
baseline winter 2019 0.993 0.000e+00 0.336 0.433 1.953 NaN NaN
elr winter 2019 0.993 0.091 0.270 0.382 2.309 0.463 3.413
baseline all 0.975 0.036 0.378 0.474 1.953 NaN NaN
elr all 0.979 0.036 0.298 0.419 2.309 0.481 3.892

Extended logistic regression plots

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