GMS location: 357

Random forest results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 0.990 0.000e+00 0.319 0.429 1.538 NaN NaN
forest winter 2016 0.990 0.000e+00 0.249 0.378 1.422 0.434 2.428
baseline winter 2017 0.977 0.045 0.353 0.452 2.118 NaN NaN
forest winter 2017 0.992 0.045 0.248 0.380 1.460 0.459 2.732
baseline winter 2018 0.993 0.000e+00 0.393 0.467 2.350 NaN NaN
forest winter 2018 1.000 0.000e+00 0.353 0.435 2.182 0.458 3.371
baseline winter 2019 0.973 0.000e+00 0.259 0.376 1.831 NaN NaN
forest winter 2019 0.973 0.000e+00 0.211 0.350 1.329 0.458 2.721
baseline all 0.985 0.016 0.335 0.434 2.350 NaN NaN
forest all 0.990 0.016 0.268 0.387 2.182 0.451 2.795

Random forest plots

My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :) My plot :)

Extended logistic regression results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 0.990 0.000e+00 0.319 0.429 1.538 NaN NaN
elr winter 2016 0.980 0.000e+00 0.254 0.391 1.619 0.519 4.656
baseline winter 2017 0.977 0.045 0.353 0.452 2.118 NaN NaN
elr winter 2017 0.985 0.000e+00 0.279 0.399 1.683 0.504 4.086
baseline winter 2018 0.993 0.000e+00 0.393 0.467 2.350 NaN NaN
elr winter 2018 0.993 0.000e+00 0.357 0.451 2.077 0.509 5.051
baseline winter 2019 0.973 0.000e+00 0.259 0.376 1.831 NaN NaN
elr winter 2019 0.982 0.111 0.226 0.347 1.718 0.489 3.629
baseline all 0.985 0.016 0.335 0.434 2.350 NaN NaN
elr all 0.985 0.016 0.281 0.400 2.077 0.507 4.427

Extended logistic regression plots

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