GMS location: 356

Random forest results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 0.983 0.062 0.328 0.434 1.817 NaN NaN
forest winter 2016 1.000 0.062 0.279 0.402 1.630 0.437 2.911
baseline winter 2017 0.950 0.062 0.315 0.408 2.511 NaN NaN
forest winter 2017 0.967 0.062 0.263 0.376 1.841 0.446 3.105
baseline winter 2018 0.987 0.083 0.358 0.451 2.199 NaN NaN
forest winter 2018 0.987 0.083 0.337 0.436 1.922 0.449 3.229
baseline winter 2019 0.987 0.077 0.275 0.378 2.124 NaN NaN
forest winter 2019 0.994 0.077 0.242 0.363 1.938 0.450 3.009
baseline all 0.979 0.071 0.320 0.419 2.511 NaN NaN
forest all 0.989 0.071 0.281 0.396 1.938 0.445 3.059

Random forest plots

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Extended logistic regression results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 0.983 0.062 0.328 0.434 1.817 NaN NaN
elr winter 2016 0.989 0.062 0.285 0.420 1.630 0.493 3.671
baseline winter 2017 0.950 0.062 0.315 0.408 2.511 NaN NaN
elr winter 2017 0.967 0.062 0.291 0.399 2.239 0.492 4.076
baseline winter 2018 0.987 0.083 0.358 0.451 2.199 NaN NaN
elr winter 2018 0.987 0.083 0.342 0.455 1.760 0.494 4.160
baseline winter 2019 0.987 0.077 0.275 0.378 2.124 NaN NaN
elr winter 2019 0.987 0.077 0.226 0.354 1.683 0.483 3.208
baseline all 0.979 0.071 0.320 0.419 2.511 NaN NaN
elr all 0.984 0.071 0.287 0.408 2.239 0.491 3.774

Extended logistic regression plots

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