GMS location: 355

Random forest results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 0.990 0.000e+00 0.261 0.390 1.604 NaN NaN
forest winter 2016 0.995 0.000e+00 0.233 0.361 1.693 0.501 4.452
baseline winter 2017 0.984 0.067 0.273 0.407 1.500 NaN NaN
forest winter 2017 0.992 0.067 0.249 0.385 1.504 0.499 4.468
baseline winter 2018 0.994 0.095 0.308 0.425 1.744 NaN NaN
forest winter 2018 0.987 0.048 0.265 0.391 1.551 0.514 4.725
baseline winter 2019 0.986 0.000e+00 0.258 0.372 1.975 NaN NaN
forest winter 2019 0.986 0.000e+00 0.208 0.339 1.617 0.505 4.030
baseline all 0.989 0.051 0.275 0.398 1.975 NaN NaN
forest all 0.990 0.038 0.239 0.369 1.693 0.504 4.427

Random forest plots

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Extended logistic regression results

names period power significance meanSquareError absError maxError CRPS IGN
baseline winter 2016 0.990 0.000e+00 0.261 0.390 1.604 NaN NaN
elr winter 2016 0.990 0.000e+00 0.253 0.393 1.583 0.575 7.583
baseline winter 2017 0.984 0.067 0.273 0.407 1.500 NaN NaN
elr winter 2017 0.992 0.100 0.247 0.392 1.295 0.555 7.530
baseline winter 2018 0.994 0.095 0.308 0.425 1.744 NaN NaN
elr winter 2018 0.994 0.095 0.275 0.404 1.524 0.553 7.472
baseline winter 2019 0.986 0.000e+00 0.258 0.372 1.975 NaN NaN
elr winter 2019 0.986 0.000e+00 0.206 0.330 1.669 0.539 5.929
baseline all 0.989 0.051 0.275 0.398 1.975 NaN NaN
elr all 0.990 0.064 0.246 0.381 1.669 0.557 7.164

Extended logistic regression plots

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