GMS location: 354

• Random forest results
• Random forest plots
• Extended logistic regression results
• Extended logistic regression plots

Random forest results

names	period	power	significance	meanSquareError	absError	maxError	CRPS	IGN
baseline	winter 2018	0.987	0.036	0.696	0.576	3.438	NaN	NaN
forest	winter 2018	0.987	0.071	0.643	0.536	4.114	0.460	6.050
baseline	winter 2019	0.961	0.000e+00	0.272	0.379	1.921	NaN	NaN
forest	winter 2019	0.980	0.000e+00	0.199	0.313	1.556	0.432	1.455
baseline	all	0.976	0.026	0.533	0.500	3.438	NaN	NaN
forest	all	0.984	0.051	0.472	0.450	4.114	0.449	4.278

Random forest plots

Extended logistic regression results

names	period	power	significance	meanSquareError	absError	maxError	CRPS	IGN
baseline	winter 2018	0.987	0.036	0.696	0.576	3.438	NaN	NaN
elr	winter 2018	0.987	0.036	0.579	0.523	3.984	0.562	9.917
baseline	winter 2019	0.961	0.000e+00	0.272	0.379	1.921	NaN	NaN
elr	winter 2019	0.961	0.000e+00	0.236	0.373	1.374	0.445	1.394
baseline	all	0.976	0.026	0.533	0.500	3.438	NaN	NaN
elr	all	0.976	0.026	0.447	0.466	3.984	0.516	6.630

Extended logistic regression plots